Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.563578 1.942334 2.437428 3.153508 4.202245 5.753759 8.382760
2025-02-09 1.064681 1.460395 2.062966 3.120460 5.123908 9.322657 21.351727
2025-02-16 0.806602 1.171577 1.780824 2.994622 5.773607 13.656113 55.328454
2025-02-23 0.678375 1.031230 1.666283 3.079465 6.958706 22.438290 256.026150
2025-03-02 0.597972 0.944269 1.609045 3.244263 8.619096 40.920515 12906.879010
2025-03-09 0.526311 0.853841 1.512639 3.260969 9.926732 70.606516 NaN
2025-03-16 0.460085 0.759423 1.380072 3.113382 10.463558 106.545630 NaN
2025-03-23 0.426338 0.720961 1.358717 3.278127 12.897558 277.345644 NaN
2025-03-30 0.391445 0.673699 1.304386 3.313939 14.871283 802.523419 NaN
2025-04-06 0.356447 0.620678 1.223813 3.222558 15.935097 2460.007265 NaN
2025-04-13 0.327911 0.577261 1.157972 3.156421 17.229220 19853.163234 NaN
2025-04-20 0.317367 0.570766 1.184827 3.467029 23.597777 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.303224 0.554944 1.185386 3.688910 31.114831 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.283531 0.524098 1.138151 3.674048 35.635310 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.262588 0.487969 1.069142 3.521007 37.018237 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.250439 0.470916 1.052538 3.628526 46.472949 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.241541 0.460408 1.053301 3.836564 64.093012 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.229633 0.441267 1.023757 3.857732 77.352786 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.215047 0.414190 0.964794 3.671449 77.850156 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.208740 0.406854 0.967698 3.879452 113.676155 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.200206 0.393079 0.947126 3.924803 145.286191 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.189976 0.374132 0.906382 3.809177 156.982468 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.181045 0.357787 0.872204 3.725690 175.035921 NaN NaN